歐元兌英鎊聚焦PMI數據的公佈

歐元兌英鎊 匯率受到週四德國和英國經濟PMI數據的影響。

EURGBP - Daily Chart
歐元兌英鎊-日走勢圖

歐元兌英鎊已從4月的0.87跌至0.84,並有進一步下跌的風險。下方的支撐位是0.8323。

週四的數據將於香港時間下午3:30公佈,屆時將公佈德國PMI數據。預計製造業指數將從48.4升至48.9,服務業指數將上升0.5。

德國同樣的數據也將於下午4點發布,預計製造業將有所成長。英國將於下午4:30發布PMI數據,預計其PMI數據將出現更大幅度的躍升。這可能顯示出英國經濟的潛在實力,並加劇歐元近期的跌勢。

英國最近一直在與歐元區就英國脫歐重置協議進行談判。據報道,英國將獲得歐盟1500億英鎊的國防採購計劃,而邊境的食品和農業設備檢查將大幅減少。

批評人士稱這是一項“投降協議”,但Frontier Economics的財務分析機構在今年早些時候評估了更緊密的聯繫對英國國內經濟的好處,稱這項協議每年可能為英國帶來高達250億英鎊的價值。

路透社調查顯示,英國經濟今年成長速度料略快,預計第一季意外強勁成長將延續。隨著與歐盟的協議以及與美國的基本貿易協議,英國的情緒有所改善。美國對英國商品仍徵收10%的關稅,但對汽車和鋼鐵的關稅降低。

「英國政府今年將大幅增加支出。有大量資金流入,這也將起到一點順風的作用。實際工資增長也仍然相當強勁,因此經濟仍有一些合理的基礎,」荷蘭國際集團經濟學家James Smith表示。

英國經濟的近期人氣似乎比歐洲同行更樂觀,這可能會提振英鎊,PMI數據有可能帶動匯價進一步上漲。

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