雙重央行決議來襲,所有目光都聚焦在歐元/美元

歐元/美元 成為焦點,美聯儲和歐洲央行本週都向投資者更新了貨幣政策。

EURUSD: Daily Chart

歐元/美元:日線圖

美聯儲決議後,歐元/美元週三上漲,交投於 1.108 水平,但在此前走高後已突破了阻力。

美聯儲再次加息,這可能是最後一個週期。聯邦公開市場委員會成員支持再次加息25個基點,使聯邦基金利率達到5.25%至5.5%的區間,為25年來的最高水平。

FOMC表示:“在評估貨幣政策的適當立場時,委員會將繼續關注經濟前景的最新信息。”   美國股市 和美元基本沒有受到影響,因為投資者預期通脹急劇下降後會出現這一最新走勢。

凱投宏觀(Capital Economics)經濟學家保羅·阿什沃斯(Paul Ashworth)表示,“我們懷疑,7月和8月月度核心消費者物價指數(CPI)數據顯著放緩的進一步跡象將最終說服美聯儲按兵不動……因為通縮步伐加快。”

就業市場強勁,就業數據一直是美聯儲面臨的另一個問題,但最新數據低於預期,且漲幅為兩年多來最小。

投資者現在將在周四轉向歐洲央行,預計該行也將再次加息。

兩家央行仍將目標定為 2%,並可能繼續維持高利率。歐洲央行的主要利率目前為 4%,存款利率為 3.50%,此前兩者均接近於零。這僅使通貨膨脹率達到 5.50%,而該銀行表示其致力於 實現2% 的數字。

鑑於市場對最新 25 個基點加息進行定價,兩家銀行有可能繼續這一方針,並在接下來一個月內觀察通脹數據來衡量進展情況。

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