聯準會降息後黃金價格飆升

總結

聯準會降息50個基點後,金價飆升至記錄新高。地緣政治緊張局勢和央行的購買行為推動了這項舉措,儘管人們擔心經濟衰退即將來臨。

聯準會降息50個基點後,黃金價格飆漲。

XAUUSD – Weekly Chart

現貨黃金-週線圖

金價自3月以來一路飆升,突破2,074美元的歷史高點,目前已升至2,622美元。在這裡,買入並持有的策略可能是危險的,但投資者可以順勢而為,直到情況發生變化。

上週,聯準會降息,進一步推高了金價的看漲基調。聯準會將利率下調50個基點,這是分析師預期的上限。

聯準會轉向寬鬆週期的舉動加劇了緊張的地緣政治環境,以色列加強了對貝魯特的襲擊,烏克蘭繼續擴大對俄羅斯的攻擊。

金價面臨的一個風險是,聯準會大幅降息可能定下衰退基調。

荷蘭合作銀行對聯準會主席鮑威爾降息50個基點的理由不以為然,表示降息是因為經濟健康。

分析師表示:“在過去,美聯儲只有在經濟或市場嚴重惡化的情況下,比如互聯網泡沫和全球金融危機,才會在降息週期開始時降息50個基點。”

過去兩年,央行的買盤也是金價的一大推動因素,但中國最大的買家之一已暫停購買黃金。中國連續18個月購買黃金,但8月已連續4個月暫停購買。

中國央行是2023年全球最大的黃金單一買家,其暫停購買黃金的決定也在近幾個月減緩了中國散戶投資者的需求。

就目前而言,金價正在強勁上漲,而且在經濟數據出現變化之前,金價將一直走高。

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