黃金在近期交易區間找到支撐

金價已反彈至先前的支撐位2,300美元,目前交投於2,355美元,在重返歷史高點之前有一些阻力。

XAUUSD – Daily Chart

黃金-日圖

週三,在美國公佈弱於預期的經濟數據後, 金價 受到提振。投資者加大了對聯準會可能在9月前降息的押注。聯準會最新會議紀要中的言論也有助於強化這一觀點。聯準會官員表示,他們仍需要更多資訊來決定利率。

美國供應管理協會(ISM)的數據顯示,美國服務業的商業活動在達到2023年8月以來的最高水準後也出現萎縮。再加上疲軟的就業數據,導緻美國申請失業救濟人數上升。私營公司僱用的工人也在減少。

世界黃金協會表示,「市場可能會再次上漲。」這家國際黃金集團指出,市場仍未飽和,不像以往金價屢創新高的時期。世界黃金協會也表示,如果目前的市場預期佔上風,金價可能會維持區間波動。不過,黃金有一條明顯的走強之路,可能受到西方資金流入的推動。

基於央行需求的大幅下降和利率在更長時間內維持在高位,今年下半年金價仍有回落的可能。亞洲投資者最近也是大買家,他們需要堅持下去。世界黃金協會指出,今年迄今金價上漲了12%,漲幅超過多數資產類別。

目前2,300美元必須支撐金價,否則可能導致金價進一步回檔。 Bullion Vault的Adrian Ash表示,銀價漲幅更為可觀,突破每盎司30美元,因 白銀” 相對於持有現金或債券的機會成本回落”。

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