美元兌日圓跟隨債券大跌而回落

在日本債券拍賣疲軟引發對該國債務水準的擔憂後, 美元兌日圓 匯率走低。

USDJPY – Daily Chart
美元兌日圓-日線圖

美元兌日圓再次回落至144.30,有可能會進一步向142下跌。 9月低點139.63將是更大的考驗。

日本債券市場人氣受到2012年以來最糟糕的拍賣需求的影響。在此之前,日本較長期債券殖利率近期飆升,波動性加劇,部分原因是美國近期的政策措施。投資人擔心央行會退出市場。

日本一直是美國國債的最大買家,官方數據顯示,3月日本持有1.13兆美元的美國公債。日本經濟的任何問題最終都可能對美國產生反作用。

日本首相石破茂對財政狀況表示悲觀:

“我們國家的財政狀況無疑極其糟糕,比希臘還糟糕。”

日本上周公布,上個季度的GDP成長出現萎縮,投資人擔心經濟衰退。週一,在40年期公債殖利率觸及20年來未見的高點後,借款成本上升。

在將自己定位為遏制「安倍經濟學」過度行為的鷹派之後,石破茂當選首相。

在美國債務評級下調後,隨著資本流動可能發生變化,美元兌日圓可能成為未來幾個月值得關注的貨幣,目前來看,可能會跌至去年9月的低點。

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